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Don’t Let Talk of Market Cycles Take You for a Ride

KEY TAKEAWAYS Many investors inform their sentiment about markets by looking for cycles in returns. Rolling returns give a false sense of cyclicality because of overlap among consecutive periods. Investors should avoid basing market expectations on this illusion of predictability. Investors can be both motivated and well-equipped to see patterns in stock returns. Motivated, because successfully predicting market movements can be lucrative, and well-equipped, because evolution has programmed humans to err on the side of seeing patterns even when they’re
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Investing Through Emotions

Rising inflation, interest rate movements, ongoing trade wars, COVID-19 variants, bear market predictions, the Russian attack on Ukraine and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, …that’s a lot to think about. The first quarter of 2022 reminds us all how much uncertainty can fill the world at any given moment— and how little control we have over it all. This perceived lack of control can lead to feelings of anxiety and stress in our everyday lives. One of the best coping techniques is
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Volatility Lessons: Should We Expect More Market Declines?

The S&P 500 ® Index recently completed its worst 100 day run to start a year since 1970 one of many signs of a volatile market that has stressed investors. A strong gain for the index over the week ending May 27 created some breathing room from bear market territory, but investor anxiety likely remains. With continued concerns related to inflation’s impact on consumer spending and company earnings, potential effects from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) rate hikes, and the oft
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