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Insights



The Difference Between a Forecast, a Wish, and a Worry

David Booth DFA Chairman and Founder When I was growing up, our local newspaper, the Kansas City Star, was full of news and had one page for opinion. After decades of cable news and nonstop digital postings, I see more opinions these days than news. That’s not a bad thing. But when it comes to investing, it’s crucial to remember the difference between news and opinion, and how they are sometimes used to forecast the future. Any time the government
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People Have Memories. Markets Don’t.

Start the new year off with a clean slate—just like markets do every day. One of the best things about markets is that they don’t have memories. They don’t remember what happened last week or last year. They don’t even remember what happened a minute ago. Prices change based on what’s happening right now and what people think will happen in the future. People have memories. Markets don’t. And that’s a good thing. So as you start 2023, take a
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The Rewarding Distribution of US Stock Market Returns

Annual stock market returns are unpredictable, but “up” years have occurred much more frequently than “down” years in the US. That may be reassuring to investors, especially if they find market downturns unsettling. The US stock market posted positive returns in 75% of the calendar years from 1926 through 2021. The market gained an annualized average of 10.2% during this period. Yet nearly two-thirds of yearly observations were at least 10 percentage points above or below the average. Another noteworthy
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